The support price

The minimum support price is announced by the central government for twenty-three crops on the recommendation of the Commission for Agricultural Costs and Prices. In practice it operates as a real purchase guarantee for two of them, wheat and paddy, and mainly in two states, Punjab and Haryana.

That is the whole architecture of Punjab's agriculture. Assured purchase at an announced price removed price risk from two crops, and every farmer rationally grew them.

It fed India. Central grain stocks came out of Punjab and Haryana for fifty years and the public distribution system ran on them.

It also locked the state into a cropping pattern that its water cannot support, and the mechanism that would unlock it, procurement of other crops, has never been built.

The demand for a legal guarantee of MSP, which was the unmet demand of the 2020 to 2021 protest, is a demand to extend the guarantee rather than remove it, and the argument about whether that is affordable or wise is the central agricultural policy question in India.

The price is worked out from a cost formula the commission publishes, and the argument about which costs go into it, whether imputed family labour and land rent are counted, is the technical dispute underneath every political one about the level.

That is why the crop pattern will not shift. A farmer who moves out of paddy moves out of the only guaranteed price in the system and into an open market with no floor.

The 2020 laws and the protest that followed were about whether that guarantee would survive. The laws were repealed and the guarantee was not made statutory, so the question is exactly where it was.

What we don't know

  • The fiscal cost of a universal legal MSP guarantee, which is estimated across a very wide range.

Where to check this

Named but not linked. These are real, findable documents. This project has not consulted them for this page.

  • Commission for Agricultural Costs and Prices reports.
  • Food Corporation of India procurement data by state.

This page has not yet been read through by the editor. Treat it with more caution than the rest.

How this page was written. The text is compiled from the standard published histories and reference works, not from a document held in hand. Nobody from this project has visited the place or read the archive. The list above is where a reader can go to check it, not a record of what was consulted line by line. Dates and figures are the received account. If you hold something better, write in and it will be corrected.

This is one of 220 accounts in When the Water Went, the chapter of this site covering Punjab since 1947: land, water, debt and everything after.